Rand Paul

U.S. Senator (KY) · Republican · Wikipedia ↗

Status tier

Actively considering

Momentum (0–100)

Confidence

Medium

Status is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (a direct, on-the-record "I’m considering it" statement). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →

Last reviewed in the July 31, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal April 2, 2026 (120 days ago).

Latest signal

"Thinking about it" — puts odds around 50-50 source ↗
April 2, 2026 · 120 days ago · Medium confidence

“I'd put it around 50-50.”

Libertarian-Republican lane; rare explicit probability.

Why this momentum score

Momentum · last 30 days

▼ 10 vs 30 days ago

Momentum over the last 30 days: from 20 to 10, high 20, low 10.

Direct "considering" quote	+20
Stale (no signal 120d)	-10
Momentum (capped 0–100)	10

Evidence & status history

2026-03-29

Rand Paul says he's '50-50' on running for president in 2028, 'thinking about it' - Fox News source ↗

consideringQuote· Low

Money movement — FEC, a separate axis

No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.

Something wrong?

Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.