Status is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (campaign-style activity — early-state travel, donors, staffing, or media — with no on-record quote yet). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →
Last reviewed in the July 31, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal July 26, 2026 (5 days ago).
Latest signal
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads 2028 Democratic Primary Poll in New Hampshire, 'humbled' by growing support - Sinar Daily source ↗ July 26, 2026 · 5 days ago · Medium confidence
Massive small-dollar base; leads some progressive polls.
Why this momentum score
Momentum · last 30 days
42
▲ 10 vs 30 days ago
Momentum over the last 30 days: from 32 to 42, high 42, low 27.
Soft / "not ruling out" quote
+12
Early-state travel (IA/NH/SC/NV)
+10
Donor meetings / PAC activity
+10
National media blitz
+5
Recency boost (signal 5d ago)
+5
Momentum (capped 0–100)
42
Evidence & status history
2026-06-05
WATCH: AOC leaves door open to 2028 White House bid: 'Maybe, maybe not' - Fox News source ↗
softConsidering· Low
2026-07-22
An Early New Hampshire Poll Finds Democratic 2028 Frontrunner . . . AOC - National Review source ↗
earlyState· Low
2026-07-22
AOC picks up steam while Vance loses ground to Rubio: New Hampshire poll - Washington Examiner source ↗
earlyState· Low
2026-07-23
Ocasio-Cortez leading potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominees in New Hampshire survey - The Hill source ↗
earlyState· Low
2026-07-23
WATCH: AOC won't rule out White House bid after poll names her Democrats' top 2028 pick - Fox News source ↗
softConsidering· Low
2026-07-26
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads 2028 Democratic Primary Poll in New Hampshire, 'humbled' by growing support - Sinar Daily source ↗
earlyState· Low
Early-state activity
New Hampshire
4 signals
Money movement — FEC, a separate axis
No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.
Tags
progressivegrassroots
Something wrong?
Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.