Status is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (campaign-style activity — early-state travel, donors, staffing, or media — with no on-record quote yet). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →
Last reviewed in the June 16, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal June 11, 2026 (5 days ago).
Latest signal
Pete Buttigieg to give keynote speech at Iowa Democratic event, fueling presidential speculation - LGBTQ Nation source ↗ June 11, 2026 · 5 days ago · Medium confidence
Top-3 in Dem polls on name ID; no explicit "considering" yet.
Why this momentum score
Early-state travel (IA/NH/SC/NV)
+10
Donor meetings / PAC activity
+10
Campaign staffing / consultants
+10
National media blitz
+5
Recency boost (signal 5d ago)
+5
Momentum (capped 0–100)
40
Evidence & status history
Seeded from curated public reporting; no automated signal changes recorded yet. New signals from FEC filings and news will appear here, dated and sourced.
Early-state activity
Iowa
1 signal
Money movement — FEC, a separate axis
No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.
Tags
establishmentpolls-high
Something wrong?
Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.