Status is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (a direct, on-the-record "I’m considering it" statement). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →
Last reviewed in the June 16, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal June 9, 2026 (7 days ago).
Latest signal
Rahm Emanuel's uphill climb in New Hampshire tests a 2028 presidential bid - Caledonian Record source ↗ June 9, 2026 · 7 days ago · Medium confidence
Aggressive media tour to project vitality and viability.
Why this momentum score
Direct "considering" quote
+20
Early-state travel (IA/NH/SC/NV)
+10
Donor meetings / PAC activity
+10
National media blitz
+5
Recency boost (signal 7d ago)
+5
Momentum (capped 0–100)
50
Evidence & status history
2026-05-29 · Positioning → Considering
Rahm Emanuel says he's mulling a 2028 run for president - WBUR
Early-state activity
New Hampshire
1 signal
Money movement — FEC, a separate axis
No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.
Tags
centristtesting
Something wrong?
Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.