Mark Kelly
U.S. Senator (AZ) · Democrat · Wikipedia ↗
Status tier
DeclaredMomentum (0–100)
75Confidence
MediumStatus is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (an FEC Statement of Candidacy (Form 2) or an on-the-record campaign launch). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →
Last reviewed in the October 29, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal October 2, 2026 (27 days ago).
Latest signal
Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly to headline Iowa Democratic Wing Ding - thegazette.com source ↗
October 2, 2026 · 27 days ago · Medium confidence
Swing-state, astronaut/veteran profile draws operative interest.
Why this momentum score
Momentum · last 30 days
75
▲ 5 vs 27 days ago
| Formal FEC candidacy / launch | +40 |
| Early-state travel (IA/NH/SC/NV) | +10 |
| Donor meetings / PAC activity | +10 |
| Campaign staffing / consultants | +10 |
| Recency boost (signal 27d ago) | +5 |
| Momentum (capped 0–100) | 75 |
Evidence & status history
2026-02-19
Trump’s call for Mark Kelly’s execution may have launched his campaign for president - Arizona Mirror source ↗
declared· Low2026-07-20
Sen. Mark Kelly, potential 2028 candidate, to headline Iowa Wing Ding - The Des Moines Register source ↗
earlyState· Low2026-07-27
Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly to headline Iowa Democratic Wing Ding - thegazette.com source ↗
earlyState· Low2026-08-14
Sen. Mark Kelly, at the Iowa State Fair, wants to talk 2026 — not 2028 - The Des Moines Register source ↗
earlyState· Low2026-08-20
Sen. Mark Kelly says he is thinking about running for president in 2028 - KTAR.com source ↗
consideringQuote· Low2026-08-14
Mark Kelly tells Iowa Democrats Trump 'failing' to improve their lives - The Des Moines Register source ↗
earlyState· Low2026-10-02
WATCH: Mark Kelly discusses possible 2028 run during stop in South Carolina - Greenville Online source ↗
earlyState· LowEarly-state activity
| Iowa | 4 signals |
| South Carolina | 1 signal |
Money movement — FEC, a separate axis
No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.
Tags
senateswing-stateSomething wrong?
Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.