Mark Kelly

U.S. Senator (AZ) · Democrat · Wikipedia ↗

Status tier

Declared

Momentum (0–100)

Confidence

Medium

Status is not support. Status tier = the furthest verifiable step taken (an FEC Statement of Candidacy (Form 2) or an on-the-record campaign launch). Momentum = weighted recent activity, not popularity. How to read this →

Last reviewed in the July 31, 2026 UTC daily build · latest signal July 27, 2026 (4 days ago).

Latest signal

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly to headline Iowa Democratic Wing Ding - thegazette.com source ↗
July 27, 2026 · 4 days ago · Medium confidence

Swing-state, astronaut/veteran profile draws operative interest.

Why this momentum score

Momentum · last 30 days

▲ 25 vs 28 days ago

Momentum over the last 28 days: from 50 to 75, high 75, low 50.

Formal FEC candidacy / launch	+40
Early-state travel (IA/NH/SC/NV)	+10
Donor meetings / PAC activity	+10
Campaign staffing / consultants	+10
Recency boost (signal 4d ago)	+5
Momentum (capped 0–100)	75

Evidence & status history

2026-02-19

Trump’s call for Mark Kelly’s execution may have launched his campaign for president - Arizona Mirror source ↗

declared· Low

2026-07-20

Sen. Mark Kelly, potential 2028 candidate, to headline Iowa Wing Ding - The Des Moines Register source ↗

earlyState· Low

2026-07-27

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly to headline Iowa Democratic Wing Ding - thegazette.com source ↗

earlyState· Low

Early-state activity

Iowa

2 signals

Money movement — FEC, a separate axis

No FEC financial report on file — not a registered filer, or no totals yet. Money is never folded into the momentum score.

Something wrong?

Corrections welcome. If a status, source, or date here is wrong or stale, flag it in 30 seconds → with what's wrong and a link. Confirmed corrections apply on the next daily build.